Model LTV, CAC, retention, and payback by channel and platform. Build a defensible UA and product budget with scenario planning for iOS and Android.
Why it matters
Benefits
Estimate ROI by network using CPI, SKAN postbacks/MMP data, conversion to payer, and ad revenue per DAU – so you can scale only the channels that hit your payback target.
Tie retention (D1, D7, D30) and churn to revenue curves for subscriptions, IAP, or ads – producing realistic LTV and payback periods instead of flat averages.
Plan spend by geo, platform, and campaign type (prospecting vs retargeting) while accounting for different CPIs, conversion rates, and ARPU – avoiding blended metrics that hide losses.
Quantify the impact of feature work – onboarding improvements, paywall changes, new ad placements, pricing tiers – by projecting incremental retention and ARPDAU against engineering and tooling costs.
Use cases
Challenge
A growth team sees volume on TikTok and Google UAC, but CPIs are rising and blended ROAS looks fine while cash burn increases. They need to know which campaigns actually recover spend within 60–90 days.
Solution
The planner models CAC and payback by channel and geo using cohort retention and revenue curves. It flags campaigns that miss the payback window and reallocates budget to higher-LTV segments or ASA keywords with stronger intent.
Challenge
A consumer app is debating a subscription paywall versus one-time IAP bundles. The team can’t compare revenue stability, churn risk, and LTV impact across cohorts.
Solution
The calculator runs side-by-side monetization scenarios – subscription price, trial conversion, monthly churn, grace periods – versus IAP conversion and repeat purchase rates, producing comparable LTV, payback, and margin outcomes.
Challenge
Product wants two sprints to revamp onboarding to lift activation and D7 retention, but finance wants proof it will outperform simply adding more UA spend.
Solution
The budget planner converts expected lifts (activation rate, D7 retention, payer conversion) into incremental LTV and total profit, then compares ROI against the cost of engineering time, experimentation tools, and lost roadmap capacity.
More industries
FAQ
It supports modeled performance by separating observed metrics (spend, installs, on-device events) from estimated outcomes (payer conversion, LTV). You can input SKAN-based conversion values, MMP aggregates, and confidence ranges, then run scenarios to see best–base–worst ROI when attribution is noisy.
At minimum: CPI or CPA by channel, activation rate, retention (D1/D7/D30 or a curve), monetization metrics (ARPDAU, ad ARPDAU, IAP conversion, subscription price and churn), platform split (iOS vs Android), and gross margin assumptions (store fees, ad network rev share, refunds). Better forecasts come from cohort data by geo and acquisition source.
Yes. You can model ad revenue using impressions per DAU, fill rate, eCPM, and ad load by placement, then layer in IAP or subscriptions for hybrid apps. The tool calculates blended LTV per cohort while keeping each revenue stream’s assumptions visible for optimization.
Set constraints – target payback window, maximum CAC, cash available, and desired growth rate – then allocate spend across channels and geos based on marginal ROI. The planner shows when additional spend hits diminishing returns (higher CPI, lower conversion) so you can cap budgets before ROI turns negative.
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